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38%. We know that both outcomes have an implied probability of 52. If true probability > implied probability, that is a good bet to take. In this scenario, the implied probability that the book is giving for the Titans to win is 60%. Since the same odds are offered for the Bills to win, the implied probability for the Bills to win are 43. 48%. It is important to note that if your true probability is higher than the implied probability that a sportsbook is giving you, then that is a valuable bet. Creating an accurate predictive model can take years to perfect.

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