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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://arks. Title: What Happens in Vegas: A Quantitative Analysis of Profit-Seeking Strategies in NBA Betting Markets Authors: Bagin, Charles Advisors: Almgren, Robert Department: Operations Research and Financial Engineering Abstract: Sports betting is a multi-billion dollar industry, attracting eager bettors by the day. It is the first known work to quantitatively analyze predictive metrics for the direction and magnitude of a singular game's point spread movement from opening until game time, and then use those predictors to formulate a betting strategy. It further researches profit-making strategies under specific scenarios for both point spreads and moneylines. It concludes with an attempt to use preseason total win predictions as predictors of individual game outcomes. Though no true predictors for point spread movement were found, the thesis succeeds in noting a handful of betting strategies that would have been profitable over the last four years. princeton. edu/ark:/88435/dsp012v23vx576 Type of Material: Princeton University Senior Theses Language: en Appears in Collections: Operations Research and Financial Engineering, 2000-2022

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